Latest Market Commentary

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LATEST COMMENTARY

April 11, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

When the thunderstorms pass eventually the sun comes out.

Markets 1 Donald 0; as is always the case, the market wins after a roller-coaster week. The rise in 10-year treasury yields and […]

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April 09, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

How this resolves itself is hard to know, but it will.

A faint hope that Trump would offer some reprieve at the last minute led to a relief rally at the start of trading […]

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April 07, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

As Dickens said the worst of times is the best of times

Those waking up this morning hoping for some good news, some signs that parties were looking to compromise or negotiate, will be sadly […]

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April 04, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Liberation day turned into obliteration day.

In one sense, the new administration achieved what they set out to do: the dollar and oil were down, the cost to this […]

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Frank Investments TV, Radio & Press

As Head of Investment at Frank Investments, Paul Sedgwick provides comments to the financial press on a regular basis; below is a selection that he has featured in.

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Market Commentary Library

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April 11, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

When the thunderstorms pass eventually the sun comes out.

Markets 1 Donald 0; as is always the case, the market wins after a roller-coaster week. The rise in 10-year treasury yields...

READ MORE
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April 09, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

How this resolves itself is hard to know, but it will.

A faint hope that Trump would offer some reprieve at the last minute led to a relief rally at the start of...

READ MORE
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April 07, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

As Dickens said the worst of times is the best of times

Those waking up this morning hoping for some good news, some signs that parties were looking to compromise or negotiate, will be...

READ MORE
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April 04, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Liberation day turned into obliteration day.

In one sense, the new administration achieved what they set out to do: the dollar and oil were down, the cost to...

READ MORE
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April 02, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Liberation Day brace yourself

We indicated on Monday that a bounce from the oversold levels the US equity market had reached was on the cards, so...

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March 31, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

April showers they say, it can also bring sunshine

Wall Street finished the week in a bad mood. A combination of a weak consumer report and the core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index...

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March 28, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Oh to be in England now that Aprils here

How quickly has the conclusion of the first quarter come about? It is one that has not panned out as many expected...

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March 26, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Borrowing costs in the UK continue to rise

Do you want the good news or the bad news? The good news was that the monthly US services Purchasing Manager Survey...

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March 24, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Wil Rachael test her Golden Rule

This week, Rachael Reeves will deliver her sprig statement, in which she will attempt to find a way to follow Gordon Brown’s...

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March 21, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Rates unchanged despite growth uncertainties

Despite concerns expressed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve about the underlying strength of their own and the broader...

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March 19, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Tickets please all change

For many, the pain trade continues as US stocks, particularly technology stocks, seek support, while Stocks in Europe, especially German ones, find...

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March 17, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Light in your head and dead on your feet, another crazy day

US stocks had a decent bounce on Friday after a torrid week for stockholders, or more precisely, about 4 weeks. The fall...

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March 14, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Beware the ides of March

The financial headlines today are all about the S&P 500 having another down day yesterday and, as a result, entering correction territory,...

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March 12, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

The bargain store is open, can you afford the price? Apologies to Dolly P

The optimism that greeted the new administration a few months ago, known as the Trump bump, has faded into a damp squib...

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March 10, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Last week was about jobs this week is about inflation.

After a volatile week, which saw the US markets have their worst week in 6 months, it felt that a bounce in...

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March 07, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

“The only thing that makes life possible is permanent, intolerable uncertainty: not knowing what comes next.”

This has not been much of a week for bond or equity investors.  German bund yields rose dramatically as the new government...

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March 05, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Is any one else suffering from hayfever?

It’s been a bad start to March for stocks, as Trump’s tariff threats have put the skids under stocks and the “safe...

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March 03, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Lets March on

It was a better end to a month that saw most of the gains for the year for US stocks given back...

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February 28, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

It all feels a little flat

According to Nvidia’s CEO, demand is “amazing.” That may be so, but demand for the shares is waning, as the stock fell...

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February 26, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Spring will soon be in the air,

US stocks are having a bad run after the fourth consecutive day of declines, with tech having another worse-than-average day, weighing on...

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February 24, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Ask me no questions and I will tell you no lies

European stocks, particularly German ones, are set for a positive start, as Friedrich Merz’s Conservatives have won Germany’s election, and the AfD...

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February 21, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

When the grey skies turn to blue, meet me on a bright and windy day. Chris Rea

A large, well-known US retailer’s shares fell around 6% after posting numbers that just about met expectations whilst offering a slightly cautious...

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February 19, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Five years on

Deciding what to write can sometimes be testing; I am grateful again to Mr Authers for pointing out that on this day...

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February 17, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

A raft of UK economic data this week

US equity markets remain close to historic highs despite an inflationary report that pointed to inflation rates remaining stubbornly above the Fed’s...

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February 14, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Prices rising, stocks rising the underlying economic picture in the US trending lower

Without going into the details, and probably to no real surprise, the release of the latest monthly US inflation data exceeded expectations....

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February 12, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Yesterdays paper telling yesterdays news

Despite the daily slew of headline news, much of which has the potential to rattle investor sentiment, equity and bond markets remain...

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February 10, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

“Worrying Is as effective as trying to solve an algebra equation by chewing Bubble gum” Baz Luhrmann

While US corporate earnings have been the focus over the past few weeks, this week’s focus will turn back to macroeconomics, particularly...

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February 07, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Optimism abounds

As widely predicted, the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and with its latest economic review, it forecasts...

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February 05, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Truflation and Acquired take a look

Trump’s 2nd term is causing a stir, that’s for sure; a day does not go by without him making headlines of one...

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February 02, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

DeepSeek, the 6 million dollar man

So the first-month ends, in some ways, not the most eventful but maybe thought-provoking. So far, Trump got the benefit of the...

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January 31, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

An eventful start to 2025

An eventful end to the month looks like ending as it started on a positive note, with the impact of the DeepSeek...

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January 29, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Come gather round people where ever you roam

As the week started, the focus was on what the Fed would do, how Powell would handle his first press conference with...

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January 27, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

The answer my friend is blowing in the wind

Trump 2.0 is in full swing, and global stock markets generally applauded his return. The S&P 500 gained almost 2% in the...

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January 24, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Powell v Trump let the fun begin

The triumphant return of Mr Trump’s return to the White House saw US equity markets return to record highs last seen at...

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January 22, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

The S&P 500 a lesson in concerntration

A recent article in the Financial Times highlighted the fund flows away from active funds to passive ETFs; last year, 500 billion...

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January 20, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Well, she was an American girl Raised on promises Tom Petty

Equity and bond markets had not had the best of ends to 2024 or the best of starts to 2025. However, last...

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January 17, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

An eventful week comes to a close

An eventful week comes to an end. In summary, the US banks delivered some strong earnings reports, setting a promising start to...

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January 15, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Rachel Reeves gets a little breathing space

Yesterday’s Producer Price Index reported a 0.2% month-on-month rise in output prices against the expected 0.3%. Year over year, prices rose by...

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January 13, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

The holiday season ends here

There was an adage that stronger employment numbers were bad for equity markets and vice versa; why? Simply because strong employment indicated...

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January 10, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

“We must adjust to changing times and still hold to unchanging principles.” Jmiity Carter

There is a sense of irony in the UK today; not so long ago, Liz Truss’s government was vilified for presenting a...

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January 08, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

No body cares till they do

The year is starting rather as it ended 2024, generally with the US economy appearing to be resilient and the market becoming...

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January 06, 2025 by Paul Sedgwick

Plenty to focus on as the New Year starts

The year-end Santa Rally fizzled out. Indeed, the All World Country Index fell just over 2% in December, dragging the index lower...

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